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LAUNCESTON

R1 6:49 PM R2 7:11 PM R3 7:33 PM R4 7:55 PM R5 8:13 PM R6 8:35 PM R7 8:57 PM R8 9:19 PM R9 9:37 PM R10 10:02 PM R11 10:23 PM

Race 4

7:55 PM
515m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st INDY GIA
2nd BLACKBRUSH BILL 📍 Place Pick
3rd NITRO DE GOEY
4th GOODNIGHT HEIDI
✅ Place bet landed — BLACKBRUSH BILL ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
6
BLACKBRUSH BILL P $1.55
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
6. BLACKBRUSH BILL FAV TOP RATED 6 $3.00 $1.55 $3.69
7. TONY THE TURTLE 7 $4.20 $2.05 $5.00
8. INDY GIA 8 $3.60 $1.80 $5.00
4. NITRO DE GOEY 4 $6.00 $2.40 $9.28
1. WALLET MOTH 1 $11.00 $3.80 $10.18
5. GOODNIGHT HEIDI 5 $13.00 $4.20 $10.94
2. MIGHTY MURPHY 2 $51.00 $10.00 $31.64
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 this race 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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