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LAUNCESTON

R1 6:49 PM R2 7:11 PM R3 7:33 PM R4 7:55 PM R5 8:13 PM R6 8:35 PM R7 8:57 PM R8 9:19 PM R9 9:37 PM R10 10:02 PM R11 10:23 PM

Race 11

10:23 PM
278m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st WHERE'S AUNTY
2nd ROGUE DANGER 📍 Place Pick
3rd SHIMA SAND
4th BLACKPOOL MYER
✅ Place bet landed — ROGUE DANGER ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
ROGUE DANGER P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. ROGUE DANGER FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.80 $1.22 $4.05
1. HEARTBREAK KID 1 $3.70 $1.30 $5.69
6. WHERE'S AUNTY 6 $4.00 $1.45 $6.13
5. SHIMA SAND 5 $4.80 $1.65 $6.48
4. BLACKPOOL MYER 4 $7.50 $2.15 $8.52
8. HIGHGATE ROSIE 8 $19.00 $3.60 $14.58
3. AVANT DANGER 3 $41.00 $5.50 $26.25
10. KING FENCER 10 $41.00 $5.50 $27.86
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 this race 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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