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LAUNCESTON

R1 11:41 AM R2 12:02 PM R3 12:21 PM R4 12:39 PM R5 12:57 PM R6 1:17 PM R7 1:37 PM R8 1:52 PM R9 2:12 PM R10 2:39 PM R11 3:07 PM

Race 4

12:39 PM
515m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st DEADLY GRIN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ZIPPING POITIER
3rd NITRO PLUME 💡 Saver
4th PARTY POPPER
✅ Place bet — won outright — DEADLY GRIN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — NITRO PLUME ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
DEADLY GRIN P $1.10
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
NITRO PLUME P $1.85
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. DEADLY GRIN FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.36 $1.10 $2.02
4. NITRO PLUME 4 $5.50 $1.85 $5.70
6. PARTY POPPER 6 $7.00 $2.15 $6.97
2. SIMPLY DANGER 2 $14.00 $3.40 $12.94
3. ZIPPING POITIER 3 $16.00 $3.70 $15.34
7. RIVIA AKIRA 7 $71.00 $8.50 $41.95
8. VISTA VANADIUM 8 $91.00 $10.00 $52.26
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.36) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.