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THE GARDENS

R1 6:51 PM R2 7:16 PM R3 7:37 PM R4 7:52 PM R5 8:13 PM R6 8:34 PM R7 9:01 PM R8 9:19 PM R9 9:43 PM R10 10:00 PM R11 10:20 PM R12 10:43 PM

Race 4

7:52 PM
515m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st JUST US BOYS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd KALANI CRUISE 💡 Saver
3rd MAJOR FORTE
4th WONKY KEY DONKEY
✅ Place bet — won outright — JUST US BOYS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — KALANI CRUISE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
JUST US BOYS P $1.12
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
KALANI CRUISE P $1.55
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. JUST US BOYS FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.50 $1.12 $2.16
7. KALANI CRUISE 7 $4.40 $1.55 $4.54
4. MAJOR FORTE 4 $10.00 $2.80 $8.26
2. WONKY KEY DONKEY 2 $9.00 $2.60 $9.88
5. KIPYEGON 5 $20.00 $4.20 $17.24
8. INDIGO PEARL 8 $34.00 $5.50 $27.82
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 83
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 85% 175
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 229
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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