| Runner | Box | Win | Place | Our rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8. TRIPPED OUT TOP RATED | 8 | $3.70 | $1.85 | $4.50 |
| 5. FLEEING FAV | 5 | $3.60 | $1.75 | $4.64 |
| 9. BANDIT SWAGGER | 9 | $3.60 | $1.80 | $5.08 |
| 6. EVENTUATE | 6 | $4.40 | $2.10 | $5.17 |
| 4. FABRICATION | 4 | $16.00 | $4.60 | $13.22 |
| 1. I'M TOO MESSY | 1 | $16.00 | $4.60 | $17.90 |
| 7. MEPUNGA SHADOW | 7 | $41.00 | $8.00 | $24.79 |
How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.
| Fav price | Win | Place | Races |
|---|---|---|---|
| <1.50 | 65% | 92% | 65 |
| 1.50–1.99 | 57% | 87% | 188 |
| 2.00–2.49 | 47% | 81% | 140 |
| 2.50–3.49 | 36% | 64% | 149 |
| 3.50–4.99 this race | 26% | 48% | 46* |
Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.